Price Finds Truth

Price is improving, but breadth still needs work.

The Rally's Real Test

Yields, Oil, & Breadth Are Sending Mixed Signals

The Next Bounce Matters

Inflation, Rates, And Market Structure Are Colliding Again

No Stagflation, For Now

A Commodity Breakout Could Pressure Inflation & Yields.

Breadth Still Matters

AI Spending Is Massive, & Markets Are Still Rewarding It

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The Rally Broadens

Markets Are Betting Growth Beats Conflict & Elevated Crude Prices

Believe No One

A Wild Historic Rally Last Week Has Made This Market Harder To Trust

Ceasefire, Not Certainty

Conditions Have Improved, But Conviction Still Has Limits

Mid-Week Trade Alert

Less Bad, Not Good

Oil, War and Shaky Charts Keep The Outlook Unsettled

Year Four Bites Back

A Bounce May Come, But Don't Mistake It For A Trend...Yet

The Fed Is Cornered

Markets May Bounce, But Damage Still Needs Repair

Oil Changes Everything

Markets Remain Vulnerable To Crude-Driven Headlines

Crosswinds and Crossfire

Crude and Conflict are reshaping expectations

Patience Over Panic

Colgate Joins The 'Overpriced Safety' List.

Newsletter preview...

With Jim on vacation, I wrote a post on the strikes against Iran

Quick explainer on how we look at trade setups

The goal is clarity, not complexity.

When Defensive Stocks Stop Defending

SOFR Positioning & Fund Stress Hint At Tail Risk

Midweek Trade Alert #2

Midweek Trade Alert

Trust Issues At 7,000 (Or 7021)

VIX Higher Lows Signal Present Risk Beneath The Surface.

Dip Buyers Still Rule (Correction)

Weekly Rotation Zones Held; Retest Highs Possible

Dip Buyers Still Rule

Weekly Rotation Zones Held; Retest Highs Possible

Extremes Invite Reversion

Warsh Wasn't The Trigger; Positioning Was